India: the Next China on Trade and the Next Mexico on Migration

The rising Asian power seeking to dethrone American economic prosperity was Japan in the 1940’s and 80’s. Today, it’s China. Tomorrow, it’ll be India. And that’s why the US must defend against India the same way the does to China and did to Japan.

As if that’s not bad enough, India is the next Mexico on immigration. Mexicans are hogging American jobs on the bottom, while Indians are hogging American jobs on the top.

First is trade:

Thank god President Trump was bold enough to make the first moves to counter Indian trade, which is to remove India’s ‘Most Favored Nation’ status on trade.

But the establishment on both sides of the political divide remain foolish. They ignore India treating American businesses unfairly because India is democratic, unlike China. Does the establishment realize that a ripped-off American remains ripped-off, no matter whether the cheating competitor is authoritarian China or a rising, democratic India? Did the establishment not learn from the 1980’s when also-democratic Japan rip-offed the US on trade the same way India is starting to do? Foreign democracy is not a good reason for our establishment to be content about losing jobs.

And India, despite its democracy, is copying China’s economic growth model. Their growth rates, population, and history are similar, with the only difference being that India started its economic rise much later so it will, eventually, posses the same threat to American workers as China does today. It’s in America’s best interest to nip India in the bud early.

A little history lesson goes a long way. Democratic India was had a socialist economy during the Cold War and allied itself with Soviet Union, despite openly claiming to be non-aligned with both the West and the East. President Obama made the mistake of viewing India as benign simply because the Cold War ended, while ignoring the jobs problem.

And the establishment in the Cold War made the mistake of courting China beginning in the 1970’s to counter the Soviets. The Obama establishment left a more recent legacy of courting India to counter the Chinese. But make no mistake, if we continue to ignore Trump, we will eventually regret helping India the same way we helped China.

Obama does a ‘namaste’, in which he clasps his hands and bows, to India. He has faced much criticism for bowing to foreign leaders. (Saurabh Das / AP)

Second is immigration:

When it comes to exploiting American immigration laws, India is by-far worse than China is. Indians hold 75% of all H-1B visas, which is supposed to be given to foreign high-tech workers to do jobs that Americans can’t. But progressive Silicon Valley tech giants, such as Apple, Google, and Facebook, are over-issuing those visas since Indian workers are cheaper. And those workers prefer to send money back home rather than spend it in the nation that generously let them in; meanwhile, American taxpayers are also suffering from paying for the Unemployment Insurance for natural-born citizens that had their job stolen. It’s a double whammy on our economy.

Next, those progressive companies that have India CEOs, such as Google’s Sundar Pichai and Microsoft’s Satya Nadella, will obviously lobby against Trump restricting the same visa they exploited from. In essence, Indians have infiltrated their way to the top ranks of US companies and used them to lobby against US citizens, something that even the Chinese and Japanese never attempted to do.

Finally, the Silicon Valley elites have benefited from the immigration debate focusing on Mexico. But the jobs debate on Mexico since NAFTA has benefited them too. Mexico is notorious for taking low-wage US jobs, including the Mexicans that remain in Mexico, but establishment politicians have ignored that the Indians that remain in India has taken thousands of high-wage IT jobs from the US for decades thanks to same liberal elites, such as Dell, HP, and Microsoft.

Again, make no mistake that Indians steal high-tech, high-wage jobs the same way Mexicans steal low-wage jobs. But with India’s population of 1.339 billion, which is over ten times larger than Mexico’s population of 129.2 million, India has the capability to be the largest job stealer, regardless of whether those Indians choose to take up the H-1B visa. Trump has correctly identified India as the skilled-work job stealer, and it’s time that the establishment and voters get on board.

In essence, India is the next China threat on trade and the next Mexico threat on immigration. The present headlines on China and Mexico are distracting readers and the establishment from the future’s threat: India.

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